The Ministry of Rural Development and Local Government is advising citizens of the River Level Advisory as of 3:30 PM this afternoon (Friday 2nd June 2023), following rainfall across several parts of the country today. The Caparo River is currently at 84% capacity, as can be seen in the River Level Advisory below:
The Ministry notes that the report is based on latest information generated by Regional Corporations’ Disaster Management Units (DMUs). All reported incidents will be sent to the relevant authorities for assessment and dispatching relief. Affected communities are urged to call their relevant DMUs. The Trinidad and Tobago Meteorological Service (TTMS) has issued an Adverse Weather Alert (Yellow Level) for fourteen (14) hours tomorrow (Saturday 3rd June 2023). The Ministry urges the public to take caution.
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According to the latest weather update from the Trinidad and Tobago Meteorological Service (TTMS) today (Friday 2nd June 2023), the axis of the most recent Tropical Wave passed Trinidad and Tobago yesterday. The trailing convergence and instability, after the axis, has produced partly cloudy to cloudy conditions, with light to moderate showers or rain in varying areas, and isolated heavy showers or thunderstorms, this morning.
The forecast is for these conditions to continue, with a medium to high chance for a few heavy showers or thunderstorms during the afternoon, becoming settled during the evening. The axis of the next nearest Tropical Wave is situated near 56° West longitude (240 Km to the East of Trinidad and Tobago). The axis is expected to arrive at Trinidad and Tobago tomorrow morning. As this Wave approaches, there is increasing instability ahead of its axis, linking with the trailing convergence of the recent past Wave. The Met Office has therefore issued an Adverse Weather Alert (Yellow Level) for fourteen (14) hours tomorrow (Saturday 3rd June 2023). The conditions tomorrow are going to be partly cloudy to cloudy with showers or rain in varying areas and a medium to high chance for thunderstorms to develop. The Met Office notes that the atmosphere will remain very moist and unstable throughout the weekend and into Monday (5th June 2023). In the event of heavy showers or thunderstorms, winds can become gusty and street or flash flooding is likely. Tropical depression #2 has now been updated to Tropical Storm Arlene. This Storm poses no threat to Trinidad and Tobago at this time. Please continue to pay attention to the latest forecasts, alerts, and information issued by the TTMS. The Trinidad and Tobago Meteorological Service (TTMS) has issued an Adverse Weather Alert (Yellow Level) for a total of fourteen (14) hours. The Alert begins at 4:00 AM tomorrow morning (Saturday 3rd June 2023) and will remain in effect until 6:00 PM for Trinidad and Tobago, including offshore areas.
According to the Met Office, there is a high (70%) chance of intermittent rainfall of varying intensities and isolated thunderstorms associated with Tropical Wave #7, from early tomorrow morning (Saturday). The most intense activity will favour Eastern offshore areas. Heavy downpours can lead to street/flash flooding and be accompanied by brief, gusty winds. Localized ponding and landslides/landslips are likely in areas so prone. Seas can become additionally agitated in heavy showers/thunderstorms. Citizens are advised to not venture into flood waters. Be alert to river levels. Continue to monitor weather conditions and official weather updates. This is a developing story - refresh this page for updates.
UPDATE (12:30 PM): Dangerous and frequent cloud-to-ground lightning ongoing across parts of West-Central Trinidad associated with a cluster of strong thunderstorms. Heavy rainfall is accompanying this activity. Street/flash flooding is likely.
According to the Trinidad and Tobago Meteorological Service (TTMS), we can expect partly cloudy to cloudy conditions today (Friday 2nd June 2023) with the likelihood of a few periods of showers/rain. There is also a medium (40% - 60%) chance of isolated thunderstorm activity. Tonight will be generally settled apart from lingering showers over a few areas.
The Met Office notes that street flooding and isolated flash flooding events are possible with the occurrence of heavy downpours/thunderstorms. Gusty winds may also occur. The forecast maximum temperature today will be 30°C at both Piarco in Trinidad and Crown Point in Tobago. Seas are slight to moderate with waves up to 1.5m in open waters and below 1m in sheltered areas.
According to the Trinidad and Tobago Meteorological Service (TTMS), overall, flood risk potential exists across the whole Wet Season. The areas of greatest risk for flooding include the Caroni, North Oropouche and South Oropouche River Basins. The local Flood Season is likely to expand as the Season progresses.
The Met Office notes that there is an elevated flood potential, with a higher-than-normal flood potential in Northeast Trinidad, near Valencia, Sangre Grande, including Vega de Oropouche, Fishing Pond, Sangre Chiquito and environs. Similar elevated potential exists in the South Oropouche River Basin, Penal, Debe, Princes Town and parts of Couva. Flood potential is moderately higher than normal for St. Helena and environs, Plum Mitan and environs, parts of Mayaro, the city of Port-of-Spain, Maraval and lower Diego Martin. Tobago has a slightly higher than usual flood potential in the Western half of the island. — Arshad Y. Khan (@youthere1web) June 1, 2023
Areas which are not colour-coded in the maps above, also have flood risks, but the chances are not as high as those that are colour-coded.
The Met Office also recently shared the 2023 Wet Season Outlook for Trinidad and Tobago.
According to the Trinidad and Tobago Meteorological Service (TTMS), a number of Tropical Waves have already begun to traverse the Atlantic towards Trinidad and Tobago and the Lesser Antilles. The axis of the nearest Tropical Wave has been analyzed to be tilted in a Northeast-to-Southwest orientation. The Met Office notes that this puts the Southern end of the axis just on the East coast of Trinidad and the Northern tip to the East of Barbados. As a result, Trinidad and Tobago is expected to begin to see the associated weather in the trailing convergence after the axis of this Wave, from as early as this afternoon (Thursday 1st June 2023) into tonight and tomorrow (Friday 2nd June 2023).
Partly cloudy conditions becoming cloudy overnight and into tomorrow morning are expected, with light to moderate showers or rain in varying areas and a medium to high chance for thunderstorm activity. At this time, the numerical models are indicating that there will be some abatement by Friday afternoon into evening. The axis of the next following Wave is approximately 49° to 50° West longitude (about 1,200 Km to the East of Trinidad and Tobago). The weather associated with this Wave is expected to begin to affect Trinidad and Tobago by Saturday morning (3rd June 2023) or early afternoon, when we should again begin to see an increase in cloudy periods and showers and a heightened chance for thunderstorm activity.
Meanwhile, an area of disturbance analyzed in the Northeastern Gulf of Mexico has been given a 50% chance for cyclonic formation over the next two (2) to seven (7) days. This area poses no threat to Trinidad and Tobago at this time.
Please continue to pay attention to the latest forecasts, alerts, and information issued by the TTMS. According to the Trinidad and Tobago Meteorological Service (TTMS), we can expect partly cloudy to cloudy conditions today (Wednesday 31st May 2023), with occasional light to moderate showers. There is the medium (40% - 60%) chance of isolated heavy showers/thunderstorms. This evening and tonight will be settled despite a few showers developing after Midnight.
The Met Office notes that gusty winds and street/flash flooding are likely near heavy downpours. The forecast maximum temperature today will be 31°C at both Piarco in Trinidad and Crown Point in Tobago. Seas are slight to moderate with waves up to 1.5m in open waters and 0.1m to 0.5m in sheltered areas. According to the Trinidad and Tobago Meteorological Service (TTMS), the first half of the 2023 Wet Season, June-July-August, is most likely to be as wet as usual with pockets of wetter than usual areas, especially in Western Trinidad, while the rest of the Season is likely to be wet as usual with drier than usual pockets developing over Trinidad. The Met Office notes that the potential for flooding is high.
Normal to below-normal number of heavy and extremely heavy rainfall days, 3-day and 5-day wet spells are likely. Flood potential is high for known flood-prone areas and normal for emerging flood-prone areas. Citizens are urged to accelerate preparations. The Met Office states that both day and night temperatures are expected to be warmer than average over Western Trinidad and Tobago. Normal to above-normal hot days (maximum temperatures ≥ 34°C) and one (1) to four (4) short-duration hot spells (5 or more consecutive hot days) and heat surges (3 consecutive hot days) are likely. Cities and urban areas are likely to get the most intense heat. An outlook with increased chances for wet as-usual conditions still suggests:
Hotter than average maximum day and night temperatures in Western parts of Trinidad and Tobago suggest:
The Met Office officially declared the start of the 2023 Wet Season for Trinidad and Tobago on Friday (26th May 2023). Our Wet Season is marked by measurable rainfall (≥ 0.1mm) produced by a Tropical Wave and/or the Inter-Tropical Convergence Zone (ITCZ), both of which are the main weather-producing features of Trinidad and Tobago's Wet Season. Meanwhile, the 2023 Atlantic Hurricane Season is fast approaching and set to begin on 1st June 2023. The Met Office is reminding citizens that now is a good time to review your emergency plans. Do not wait until an Alert, Watch or Warning is issued to get prepared. [Source: TTMS] According to the Trinidad and Tobago Meteorological Service (TTMS), we can expect variably cloudy conditions today (Monday 29th May 2023), with light to moderate showers over a few areas. There is the medium (40%) chance of the heavier shower or thunderstorm mainly over Trinidad. Gradual improvement is expected by late afternoon/early evening, despite the lingering shower.
The Met Office notes that gusty winds and street/flash flooding are possible near heavy downpours. The forecast maximum temperature today will be 28°C at Piarco in Trinidad and 30°C at Crown Point in Tobago. Seas are slight to moderate with waves up to 1.5m in open waters and 0.1m to 0.5m in sheltered areas. According to the Trinidad and Tobago Meteorological Service (TTMS), partly cloudy/cloudy periods with showers will interrupt sunshine at times today (Sunday 28th May 2023), especially over Trinidad. There is also a medium (40% - 60%) chance of isolated thunderstorm activity. Tonight will be generally settled apart from lingering showers over a few areas.
The Met Office notes that street flooding and isolated flash flooding events are possible with the occurrence of heavy downpours/thunderstorms. Gusty winds may also occur. The forecast maximum temperature today will be 31°C at Piarco in Trinidad and 30°C at Crown Point in Tobago. Seas are moderate with waves up to 1.5m in open waters and below 1m in sheltered areas. |
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