The Trinidad and Tobago Meteorological Service (TTMS) is closely monitoring two (2) active Tropical Waves, TW1 and TW2, in the Atlantic. The first wave, TW1, is located approximately 500 Km East of the Lesser Antilles, centred near 13N 55W and is moving Westward to West North-Westward near 40 Km/hr. This Wave has a 10% (low) chance of development into a Tropical Depression over the next forty-eight (48) hours. TW1 has already begun to produce locally heavy rainfall over portions of the Lesser Antilles. Current analyses suggest that on its projected track, the centre of the system is forecast to reach the Leeward Islands by tonight. The second wave, TW2, is located approximately 2,100 Km East of the Lesser Antilles, centred near 8.5N 40W and is moving Westward to West North-Westward near 35 Km/hr. This Wave has a 60% (medium) chance of development into a Tropical Depression over the next forty-eight (48) hours. However, it continues to show signs of additional development with a 80% (high) chance of formation over the next five (5) days. Regardless of development, this system will likely produce gusty winds and locally heavy rainfall across portions of the Lesser Antilles islands between Friday (2nd July 2021) and Saturday (3rd July 2021). At this time, both TW1 and TW2 pose no direct threat to Trinidad and Tobago or Grenada and its dependencies. The TTMS says it will continue to closely monitor these systems and will issue an update at 6pm today (30th June 2021) or earlier if the situation warrants. Meanwhile, both systems are also being closely monitored by the National Hurricane Center (NHC) in Miami. Its latest update this morning on both systems are as follows. - TW1: Disorganized showers and Thunderstorms continue in association with a Tropical Wave located just East of the Lesser Antilles. Significant development of this system is unlikely while it moves quickly, passing through the Lesser Antilles today and then across the Eastern and central Caribbean Sea later this week. Regardless of development, this system could bring locally heavy rainfall to portions of the Lesser Antilles during the next day or two (2). Formation chance through forty-eight (48) hours is low (10%). Formation chance through five (5) days is also low (10%). - TW2: A broad area of low pressure, associated with a Tropical Wave, is located about midway between the West coast of Africa and the Windward Islands. This system is producing a large area of showers and Thunderstorms that continues to show some signs of organization. Environmental conditions appear generally favorable for development, and a Tropical Depression is likely to form during the next few days. Interests in the Windward and Leeward Islands should closely monitor this system as it will likely be moving through that region on Friday. Formation chance through forty-eight (48) hours is medium (60%). Formation chance through five (5) days is high (80%). This is a developing story - refresh this page for updates.
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