According to the Trinidad and Tobago Meteorological Service (TTMS), a number of Tropical Waves have already begun to traverse the Atlantic towards Trinidad and Tobago and the Lesser Antilles. The axis of the nearest Tropical Wave has been analyzed to be tilted in a Northeast-to-Southwest orientation. The Met Office notes that this puts the Southern end of the axis just on the East coast of Trinidad and the Northern tip to the East of Barbados. As a result, Trinidad and Tobago is expected to begin to see the associated weather in the trailing convergence after the axis of this Wave, from as early as this afternoon (Thursday 1st June 2023) into tonight and tomorrow (Friday 2nd June 2023).
Partly cloudy conditions becoming cloudy overnight and into tomorrow morning are expected, with light to moderate showers or rain in varying areas and a medium to high chance for thunderstorm activity. At this time, the numerical models are indicating that there will be some abatement by Friday afternoon into evening. The axis of the next following Wave is approximately 49° to 50° West longitude (about 1,200 Km to the East of Trinidad and Tobago). The weather associated with this Wave is expected to begin to affect Trinidad and Tobago by Saturday morning (3rd June 2023) or early afternoon, when we should again begin to see an increase in cloudy periods and showers and a heightened chance for thunderstorm activity.
Meanwhile, an area of disturbance analyzed in the Northeastern Gulf of Mexico has been given a 50% chance for cyclonic formation over the next two (2) to seven (7) days. This area poses no threat to Trinidad and Tobago at this time.
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